| This paper is looking at new ways to think about, and plan for, the effects of Bureaucratic Reform (BR) in Indonesia. In 2013, the Government of Indonesia and Indonesia parliament will pass the important bill on State Civil Apparatus (Undang Undang Aparatur Sipil Negara or UU ASN), which outlines a broad framework for how the country will deal with its civil service (State Civil Apparatus. The challenge of Indonesia Bureaucratic reform is because of false certainty of single future that the current Bureaucratic Reform will be successful. In the Indonesia Bureaucratic Reform, strategic and scenario planning will helps define the future state of Indonesia. This paper will build several (four) a scenario of BR in Indonesia after 2013, each scenario is specially constructed stories about the future. The purpose of scenario planning is to illustrate how different forces of BR (one axis of external force as public support and one axis for internal force as civil service union acceptance) can manipulate the future of Indonesia Bureaucratic Reform towards opposite directions. The four scenarios develop our mental maps and enlarge the number of options to act on approaching events. We might look at the scenario that tolerate the greatest threat and try to minimize the risk or it might look at the scenario with the highest possible and shape their own future by trying to maximize the probability of the respective scenario developing. |
Updated 07/09/2013